🏡 Weekly Newsletter · Issue 2 · July 11, 2026 · 5 min read

Four in ten Tri-Cities listings cut their price in June. Buyers still paid 98.7% of asking.

Hot air balloons launching over a crowd at Kingsport's Fun Fest
Fun Fest's hot air balloons over Kingsport, TN — Block Party weekend is on now, and the main festival starts July 18. Details in this week's events below.
TL;DR
  • June's median sale price hit $308,750 — up 4.7% year-over-year, the fifth straight month of steady gains.
  • 41% of June's sold listings cut their price before an offer came in — but a price cut isn't the discount buyers think it is.
  • Where buyers actually save: seller concessions averaged $15,360 in June — and how to structure one beats waiting for a markdown.
  • Concession caps by loan program — the numbers to know before your buyer's offer is written.
  • Fun Fest Block Party weekend in Kingsport; the main festival runs July 18–26.
  • Free for agents: the National Agent Mastermind is a week from Tuesday, July 21 — register below.

Tri-Cities Market Pulse

June's numbers are in, and the story is consistency. The regional median sale price reached $308,750, up 4.7% from a year ago — the fifth straight month of year-over-year gains landing inside a tight band between 4.5% and 5.6%. That's not a spike; that's steady demand meeting steady supply. Sales grew too: 812 homes closed in June, up 3.8%, and the first half of 2026 is running 8.3% ahead of last year at 4,115 closings.

Two things worth watching underneath the headline. New listings fell 4.6% in June — the only major category losing ground — and homes took 67 days to go under contract, up from 62 last June. More inventory on the market means buyers have more choice and take more time, even while the region moves more homes overall. At 3.75 months of supply, the Tri-Cities is still in seller's-market territory. (Full June report at donfenley.com →)

On rates: mortgage rates have stayed in a calm, narrow range this summer. If a buyer tells you they're waiting for something lower, the talking point that holds up is this — prices here haven't waited (see the five months above), and if rates do drop meaningfully, sidelined buyers tend to flood back at once and bid prices up. A lower rate next to a higher price is often the same payment with more competition.

Source: NETAR data reported by Don Fenley, CoreData (donfenley.com). Market analysis by Sam Timlick, mortgage loan officer in Johnson City, TN.

The Price Cut That Isn't a Discount

Here's the stat your buyers will bring to you this month: 41% of Tri-Cities listings that sold in June had cut their asking price before a single offer came in — the highest share in a year, up from 35.2% last June. National headlines are framing numbers like these as a buyer's discount. The local data says something narrower, and it's worth getting right before your next buyer consult.

A price cut is a markdown off the seller's own starting number, not off what the home is worth. When a June listing finally sold, it closed at 98.7% of its final asking price — nearly full price. The average concession at the table was $15,360, about 4.9% of list, and nearly one in five sales actually closed above asking. So the buyer who waited for the cut didn't beat the market; they waited for the seller to meet it.

The agent takeaway: rising price cuts plus shrinking concessions means overpricing at listing is common, but overpricing that survives to closing is rare. Buyers expecting a deep discount off a well-priced home will keep losing to buyers who aren't. And for your listings — the market is correcting optimistic pricing fast, so price right the first time and skip the 41% club.

(Don Fenley's full breakdown at donfenley.com →)

Mortgage Strategy: Ask for the Concession, Not the Cut

A $10,000 price cut saves a buyer roughly $60 a month. The same $10,000 as a seller concession can cover most of their closing costs or buy the rate down — money the buyer feels at the closing table and in every payment after it, not spread invisibly over 30 years.

That's the practical flip side of the price-cut data above. Since most negotiating room in this market is thin — under 5% off final list on average — where your buyer takes that room matters more than how big it is. For a cash-tight buyer, moving the same dollars from the price to a concession is often the difference between "can't close" and "closed."

The caps to know before the offer is written: conventional loans allow seller contributions of 3% of the price with less than 10% down (6% with 10–25% down, 9% above that); FHA and USDA allow up to 6%; VA allows customary closing costs paid by the seller plus concessions up to 4%. Ask your lender to confirm the cap and the smartest use of the dollars — costs covered versus a rate buydown — while the offer is being structured, not after acceptance. That's exactly the kind of pre-offer call I'm glad to jump on; more on how I work with agents at samtimlick.com/for-agents.

Quick FAQ

Usually the concession. A price cut mostly corrects a listing that started above market — your buyer pays market value either way, and the monthly savings are small. A concession is money applied at closing: it can cover closing costs or buy down the rate, which a cash-tight buyer feels immediately.
Depends on the program. Conventional: 3% with less than 10% down, 6% with 10–25% down, 9% above that. FHA and USDA: up to 6%. VA: customary closing costs plus concessions up to 4%. Confirm the cap with the lender before the offer is written, not after.
Yes — June's regional median hit $308,750, up 4.7% from a year ago, the fifth straight month of gains between 4.5% and 5.6%. Steady, not spiking.
By inventory, yes — 3.75 months of supply in June keeps the region in seller's-market territory. But 41% of June's sold listings cut price before an offer arrived, so listings priced above market get corrected fast. Priced-right homes still closed at 98.7% of final ask.
Waiting isn't free. Prices here have climbed five straight months while buyers waited, and if rates fall meaningfully, sidelined buyers tend to return all at once — more competition, higher prices, similar payment. Buying at today's price and refinancing later if rates drop is often the stronger position.

Tri-Cities Weekend Events

🎉 Fun Fest Block Party weekend is on in Kingsport — the pre-kickoff block parties run through Sunday, July 12, and the main festival follows July 18–26 with 100+ events across 30+ locations. The Sunset Concert Series lands the week after next: Jeremy Camp with Katy Nichole on July 23, Daughtry with Switchfoot on July 24, and a Brothers Osborne + LeAnn Rimes double bill closing it out July 25. Full schedule at funfest.net — and plan showings around downtown Kingsport traffic accordingly.

🥕 Johnson City Farmers Market — Saturday morning, 8 AM to 1 PM at the downtown Pavilion. Fresh produce, local honey, handmade goods, and the best people-watching in town. If you've got buyers relocating to the area, it's a great "this is what Saturdays here feel like" stop after a morning of showings — details at johnsoncityfarmersmarket.net.

Free for Agents: National Agent Mastermind

A week from Tuesday: the National Agent Mastermind, the free monthly training session I sponsor for agents. This month it's Lister's Last: How to Outlast Any Market with Annie Cash — Tuesday, July 21 at 3:00 PM Eastern (12:00 PM Pacific) — on how top producers stay consistent and keep a referral-based business growing regardless of what the market's doing. If you haven't grabbed a spot yet, it takes about a minute.

Register free for July 21 →

Got Buyers Who Need Financing?

The best clients I've ever worked with came from someone saying, "you should call Sam." If you know someone buying a home — whether it's their first or their fifth, whether they're ready now or just starting to think about it — I'd be honored if you passed my name along. I'll treat them like family, and if you're the agent on the deal, I'll keep you in the loop the whole way.

Have buyers who need financing?

If you've got clients who need a lender who moves fast and communicates clearly, I'd love to work with them.

Call / Text: 253-431-2630

Sam Timlick · Top Flite Home Loans · NMLS# 2776469 · Equal Housing Lender. This is not a commitment to lend; terms and eligibility depend on credit, income, and property qualification and are subject to change.

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